SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boston River would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Boston River |
31.85% ( -0.4) | 27.43% ( 0.02) | 40.71% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 48.84% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.35% ( -0.16) | 56.65% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.38% ( -0.13) | 77.61% ( 0.12) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.19% ( -0.36) | 32.81% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.63% ( -0.4) | 69.37% ( 0.4) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.68% ( 0.13) | 27.31% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.24% ( 0.17) | 62.76% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Boston River |
| 1-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.59% Total : 31.85% | 1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.43% | 0-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 8.41% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 7.55% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 3.64% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.96% Total : 40.71% |
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