Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 57.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Rentistas had a probability of 19.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Rentistas win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
