SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenix win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenix win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo City Torque | Draw | Fenix |
34.45% ( 0.1) | 27.36% ( 0.19) | 38.19% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 49.65% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.1% ( -0.74) | 55.9% ( 0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.99% ( -0.61) | 77.01% ( 0.6) |
| Montevideo City Torque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.32% ( -0.31) | 30.67% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.07% ( -0.37) | 66.92% ( 0.37) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.62% ( -0.52) | 28.38% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.87% ( -0.66) | 64.13% ( 0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo City Torque | Draw | Fenix |
| 1-0 @ 10.28% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.12% Total : 34.44% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.35% | 0-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 8.16% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 6.9% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.82% Total : 38.18% |
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