SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Albion | 22 | -15 | 22 |
| 12 | Montevideo City Torque | 21 | -4 | 20 |
| 13 | Cerro Largo | 21 | -16 | 20 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Defensor Sporting | 21 | 1 | 33 |
| 8 | Fenix | 21 | 0 | 32 |
| 9 | River Plate | 21 | 6 | 29 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 49.01%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Fenix had a probability of 24.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Fenix win it was 0-1 (8.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo City Torque would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo City Torque | Draw | Fenix |
49.01% ( -0.1) | 26.12% ( -0.04) | 24.87% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 48.39% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.85% ( 0.22) | 55.15% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.61% ( 0.18) | 76.39% ( -0.19) |
| Montevideo City Torque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.46% ( 0.05) | 22.54% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.88% ( 0.07) | 56.12% ( -0.08) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.47% ( 0.24) | 37.52% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.69% ( 0.23) | 74.3% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo City Torque | Draw | Fenix |
| 1-0 @ 12.6% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.74% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.91% Total : 49.01% | 1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.12% | 0-1 @ 8.29% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.68% Total : 24.87% |
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