SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 50.88%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Fenix had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.19%) and 1-2 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.61%), while for a Fenix win it was 1-0 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fenix | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
20.7% ( -0) | 28.42% ( 0) | 50.88% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 38.42% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.24% ( -0.01) | 65.76% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.58% ( -0.01) | 84.42% ( 0.01) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.19% ( -0.01) | 47.81% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.91% ( -0.01) | 83.09% ( 0.01) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.62% ( -0.01) | 26.38% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.46% ( -0.01) | 61.53% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenix | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
| 1-0 @ 9.31% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.58% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.43% 3-1 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 2.26% Total : 20.7% | 0-0 @ 12.61% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 12.4% 2-2 @ 3.05% ( -0)Other @ 0.35% Total : 28.41% | 0-1 @ 16.8% 0-2 @ 11.19% 1-2 @ 8.26% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.97% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.67% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.66% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0)Other @ 1.74% Total : 50.87% |
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