SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plaza Colonia win with a probability of 37.75%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plaza Colonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Fenix win was 0-1 (10.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Plaza Colonia | Draw | Fenix |
37.75% ( -0.18) | 27.93% ( 0.06) | 34.32% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 47.91% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.94% ( -0.19) | 58.07% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.26% ( -0.15) | 78.74% ( 0.16) |
| Plaza Colonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.31% ( -0.2) | 29.7% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.25% ( -0.25) | 65.75% ( 0.25) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.15% ( -0.01) | 31.85% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.71% ( -0.01) | 68.29% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Plaza Colonia | Draw | Fenix |
| 1-0 @ 11.48% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.44% Total : 37.75% | 1-1 @ 13.13% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.92% | 0-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.52% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.87% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.83% Total : 34.32% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
