SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenix win with a probability of 36.77%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenix win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.49%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 1-0 (12.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Fenix |
33.93% ( 0.16) | 29.3% ( -0.1) | 36.77% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 43.96% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.1% ( 0.35) | 62.9% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.61% ( 0.26) | 82.39% ( -0.25) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.36% ( 0.3) | 34.64% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.64% ( 0.32) | 71.36% ( -0.32) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.26% ( 0.15) | 32.74% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.7% ( 0.16) | 69.3% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Fenix |
| 1-0 @ 12.02% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.24% Total : 33.92% | 1-1 @ 13.42% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.34% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.3% | 0-1 @ 12.66% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 7.49% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.07% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.63% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.65% Total : 36.77% |
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