SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 (10.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Danubio | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
40.66% ( -0.06) | 28.72% ( -0.02) | 30.61% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 44.8% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.48% ( 0.08) | 61.51% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.62% ( 0.06) | 81.38% ( -0.06) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.32% ( 0) | 29.68% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.27% ( 0) | 65.73% ( -0) |
| Montevideo City Torque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.71% ( 0.1) | 36.29% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.92% ( 0.11) | 73.07% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Danubio | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
| 1-0 @ 13.08% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.06% 2-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.26% 3-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.99% 4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 1.48% Total : 40.66% | 1-1 @ 13.26% 0-0 @ 10.77% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.72% | 0-1 @ 10.91% 1-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.92% Total : 30.61% |
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