Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 62.55%. A draw has a probability of 21.2% and a win for Aberystwyth Town has a probability of 16.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (11.13%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.05%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it is 1-0 (5.12%).
Result | ||
Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Newtown AFC |
16.29% ( 0.14) | 21.16% ( 0.48) | 62.55% ( -0.62) |
Both teams to score 50.62% ( -1.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.33% ( -1.81) | 45.67% ( 1.81) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.01% ( -1.75) | 67.99% ( 1.75) |
Aberystwyth Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.86% ( -0.92) | 41.14% ( 0.91) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.32% ( -0.82) | 77.68% ( 0.82) |
Newtown AFC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86% ( -0.76) | 14% ( 0.76) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.47% ( -1.51) | 41.53% ( 1.51) |
Score Analysis |
Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Newtown AFC |
1-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 4.47% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.81% Total : 16.29% | 1-1 @ 10.05% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.43) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.95% Total : 21.15% | 0-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.55) 0-2 @ 11.13% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 9.89% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 7.3% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 6.48% ( -0.2) 0-4 @ 3.59% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 3.18% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.17) 2-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.12) 0-5 @ 1.41% ( -0.09) 1-5 @ 1.25% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.71% Total : 62.54% |
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