Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 52.48%. A win for Briton Ferry had a probability of 25.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Briton Ferry win was 2-1 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Briton Ferry | Draw | Newtown AFC |
25.06% ( 1) | 22.46% ( 0.42) | 52.48% ( -1.42) |
Both teams to score 60.35% ( -0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.52% ( -0.97) | 39.48% ( 0.97) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.17% ( -1.02) | 61.82% ( 1.02) |
Briton Ferry Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.12% ( 0.27) | 28.88% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.25% ( 0.33) | 64.75% ( -0.33) |
Newtown AFC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.85% ( -0.81) | 15.15% ( 0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.26% ( -1.54) | 43.73% ( 1.54) |
Score Analysis |
Briton Ferry | Draw | Newtown AFC |
2-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.2) 1-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.37% Total : 25.07% | 1-1 @ 10.25% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.45% | 1-2 @ 9.68% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 6.09% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 4.9% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 2.87% ( -0.18) 0-4 @ 2.31% ( -0.17) 2-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.1) 1-5 @ 1.08% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.93% Total : 52.48% |
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