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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flint Town United win with a probability of 66.36%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 15.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flint Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 1-0 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.31%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-2 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flint Town United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Flint Town United | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
66.36% ( 0.34) | 18.35% ( -0.15) | 15.29% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 58.23% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.43% ( 0.32) | 34.56% ( -0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.5% ( 0.36) | 56.5% ( -0.36) |
| Flint Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.31% ( 0.17) | 9.68% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.71% ( 0.4) | 32.29% ( -0.39) |
| Aberystwyth Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.47% ( -0.03) | 35.53% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.71% ( -0.04) | 72.29% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Flint Town United | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 4.41% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.04)5-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.44% Total : 66.36% | 1-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 18.35% | 1-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.37% Total : 15.29% |
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