Aberystwyth
0 - 1
Connah's Quay

Owen (45'), Veale (52'), Franklin (57'), Rimmer (87')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mendes (31')
Mendes (52'), Byrne (81'), Horan (87'), Poole (90')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 65.24%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 15.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.96%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-0 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Aberystwyth Town	Draw	Connah's Quay Nomads
15.17%	19.59%	65.24%

Both teams to score 53.3%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.2%

40.8%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.81%

63.19%

Aberystwyth Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.39%

39.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.71%

76.29%

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.27%

11.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.12%

36.88%

Score Analysis

Aberystwyth Town 15.17%

Connah's Quay Nomads 65.24%

Draw 19.59%

Aberystwyth Town	Draw	Connah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 4.31% 2-1 @ 4.27% 2-0 @ 1.99% 3-2 @ 1.41% 3-1 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.87% Total : 15.17%	1-1 @ 9.22% 0-0 @ 4.65% 2-2 @ 4.58% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.59%	0-2 @ 10.67% 0-1 @ 9.96% 1-2 @ 9.88% 0-3 @ 7.62% 1-3 @ 7.06% 0-4 @ 4.08% 1-4 @ 3.78% 2-3 @ 3.27% 2-4 @ 1.75% 0-5 @ 1.75% 1-5 @ 1.62% Other @ 3.8% Total : 65.24%