SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 74.03%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Airbus UK Broughton had a probability of 9.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.34%) and 0-3 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.71%), while for an Airbus UK Broughton win it was 1-0 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Airbus UK Broughton | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
9.73% ( -0.58) | 16.24% ( -0.21) | 74.03% ( 0.79) |
| Both teams to score 47.77% ( -1.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.8% ( -0.86) | 39.2% ( 0.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.47% ( -0.91) | 61.53% ( 0.91) |
| Airbus UK Broughton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.55% ( -1.73) | 47.45% ( 1.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.17% ( -1.32) | 82.82% ( 1.32) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.9% ( -0.03) | 9.1% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.09% ( -0.08) | 30.9% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Airbus UK Broughton | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
| 1-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.44% Total : 9.73% | 1-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.21)Other @ 0.77% Total : 16.24% | 0-2 @ 12.4% ( 0.46) 0-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.39)0-3 @ 9.91% ( 0.35)1-2 @ 9.25% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 7.39% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 5.94% ( 0.2)1-4 @ 4.43% ( -0.06)0-5 @ 2.85% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.17)1-5 @ 2.12% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.11)0-6 @ 1.14% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.85% Total : 74.02% |
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