SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flint Town United win with a probability of 53.37%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 23.64% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flint Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Flint Town United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Flint Town United | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
53.37% ( 0.23) | 23% ( -0.05) | 23.64% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 56.82% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.6% ( 0.04) | 43.41% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.2% ( 0.04) | 65.8% ( -0.04) |
| Flint Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.76% ( 0.1) | 16.24% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.24% ( 0.18) | 45.76% ( -0.17) |
| Caernarfon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.84% ( -0.13) | 32.17% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.35% ( -0.15) | 68.66% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Flint Town United | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.36% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.35% Total : 53.37% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23% | 1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.57% Total : 23.64% |
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