Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Bala Town had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.39%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Bala Town win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
