Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 51.99%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 24.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.1%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.
