SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 49.1%. A win for Barry Town United had a probability of 26% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (8.66%). The likeliest Barry Town United win was 1-0 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barry Town United | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
26% ( -0.25) | 24.9% ( 0.11) | 49.1% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 53.07% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.47% ( -0.63) | 49.52% ( 0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.44% ( -0.57) | 71.56% ( 0.57) |
| Barry Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.5% ( -0.54) | 33.5% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.86% ( -0.6) | 70.13% ( 0.59) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.8% ( -0.19) | 20.2% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.49% ( -0.31) | 52.5% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barry Town United | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
| 1-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 6.47% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.36% Total : 26% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.9% | 0-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 9.47% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.66% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 5.05% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 4.62% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.85% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.76% Total : 49.09% |
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