SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 52.01%. A win for Barry Town United had a probability of 24.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Barry Town United win was 0-1 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | Barry Town United |
52.01% ( 0.67) | 23.52% ( -0.16) | 24.47% ( -0.51) |
| Both teams to score 56.02% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.09% ( 0.22) | 44.91% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.73% ( 0.22) | 67.27% ( -0.21) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.72% ( 0.33) | 17.28% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.39% ( 0.58) | 47.61% ( -0.58) |
| Barry Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.71% ( -0.3) | 32.28% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.22% ( -0.34) | 68.78% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | Barry Town United |
| 1-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.85% Total : 52.01% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.52% | 0-1 @ 6.31% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.56% Total : 24.47% |
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