SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barry Town United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barry Town United | Draw | Cardiff MU |
43.12% ( -0.19) | 25.43% ( 0.07) | 31.45% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 54.97% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.3% ( -0.27) | 48.69% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.19% ( -0.25) | 70.8% ( 0.25) |
| Barry Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.48% ( -0.21) | 22.51% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.91% ( -0.31) | 56.08% ( 0.31) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.95% ( -0.06) | 29.05% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.04% ( -0.08) | 64.96% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barry Town United | Draw | Cardiff MU |
| 1-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.23% Total : 43.12% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.45% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.07% 2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 31.45% |
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