SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 47.59%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-0 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff MU would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Cardiff MU |
27.67% ( -0) | 24.75% ( -0) | 47.59% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.94% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.28% ( 0.01) | 47.72% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.09% ( 0.01) | 69.91% ( -0.01) |
| Aberystwyth Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.77% ( 0) | 31.24% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.42% ( 0) | 67.59% |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.89% ( 0.01) | 20.11% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.64% ( 0.01) | 52.37% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Cardiff MU |
| 1-0 @ 7.31% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.82% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.25% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.65% 3-2 @ 2.12% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.65% ( -0)Other @ 2.87% Total : 27.67% | 1-1 @ 11.72% 0-0 @ 6.28% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.75% | 0-1 @ 10.07% 1-2 @ 9.4% 0-2 @ 8.08% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.03% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.32% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.93% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.02% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.73% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 2.83% Total : 47.58% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
