SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 69.41%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 11.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.16%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bala Town | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
69.41% ( -1.42) | 18.87% ( 0.93) | 11.72% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 45.89% ( -1.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.45% ( -2.85) | 45.55% ( 2.85) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.12% ( -2.77) | 67.88% ( 2.77) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.02% ( -1.18) | 11.98% ( 1.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.61% ( -2.56) | 37.39% ( 2.56) |
| Aberystwyth Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.13% ( -0.96) | 47.86% ( 0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.87% ( -0.72) | 83.13% ( 0.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bala Town | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
| 2-0 @ 12.9% ( 0.36) 1-0 @ 12.16% ( 0.89)2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 6.73% ( -0.32)4-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.33)4-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.35)3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.19)5-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.25)5-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.23)4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.17)Other @ 3.18% Total : 69.39% | 1-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.43) 0-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.67)2-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.67% Total : 18.87% | 0-1 @ 4.22% ( 0.39) 1-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.64% Total : 11.72% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
