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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 7
Sep 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Maes Tegid

Bala Town
3 - 0
Aberystwyth

Edwards (22'), Mehasseb (27'), Burke (38')
Burke (73'), Darlington (74')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Arnison (51'), Evans (64'), Darlington (78')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Bala Town and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bala Town 0-1 Cardiff MU
Saturday, September 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Aberystwyth 0-2 Flint Town
Saturday, September 7 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 69.41%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 11.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.16%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.

Result
Bala TownDrawAberystwyth Town
69.41% (-1.419 -1.42) 18.87% (0.929 0.93) 11.72% (0.49 0.49)
Both teams to score 45.89% (-1.471 -1.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.45% (-2.846 -2.85)45.55% (2.845 2.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.12% (-2.769 -2.77)67.88% (2.769 2.77)
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.02% (-1.178 -1.18)11.98% (1.178 1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.61% (-2.56 -2.56)37.39% (2.561 2.56)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.13% (-0.959 -0.96)47.86% (0.961 0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.87% (-0.716 -0.72)83.13% (0.71599999999999 0.72)
Score Analysis
    Bala Town 69.39%
    Aberystwyth Town 11.72%
    Draw 18.87%
Bala TownDrawAberystwyth Town
2-0 @ 12.9% (0.36 0.36)
1-0 @ 12.16% (0.89 0.89)
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 9.13% (-0.176 -0.18)
3-1 @ 6.73% (-0.318 -0.32)
4-0 @ 4.85% (-0.334 -0.33)
4-1 @ 3.57% (-0.351 -0.35)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.189 -0.19)
5-0 @ 2.06% (-0.25 -0.25)
5-1 @ 1.52% (-0.231 -0.23)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.169 -0.17)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 69.39%
1-1 @ 8.96% (0.429 0.43)
0-0 @ 5.73% (0.667 0.67)
2-2 @ 3.5% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 18.87%
0-1 @ 4.22% (0.39 0.39)
1-2 @ 3.3% (0.071 0.07)
0-2 @ 1.56% (0.104 0.1)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 11.72%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Bala Town 0-1 Cardiff MU
Saturday, September 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Bala Town 1-2 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, August 31 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Caernarfon 0-0 Bala Town
Monday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Bala Town 2-0 Flint Town
Friday, August 23 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Bala Town 2-0 Briton Ferry
Friday, August 16 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Barry 1-1 Bala Town
Saturday, August 10 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Aberystwyth 0-2 Flint Town
Saturday, September 7 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 2-0 Aberystwyth
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 5-1 Aberystwyth
Monday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-0 Barry
Friday, August 23 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-1 Connah's Quay
Friday, August 16 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 4-1 Aberystwyth
Friday, August 9 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League


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