SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 46.32%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 27.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bala Town | Draw | Cardiff MU |
46.32% ( -0.48) | 25.94% ( 0.17) | 27.74% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 51.25% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.43% ( -0.51) | 52.57% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.78% ( -0.44) | 74.22% ( 0.44) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.33% ( -0.43) | 22.67% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.69% ( -0.65) | 56.31% ( 0.64) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.27% ( -0.03) | 33.72% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.62% ( -0.04) | 70.38% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bala Town | Draw | Cardiff MU |
| 1-0 @ 11.34% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.11% Total : 46.32% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.94% | 0-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.35% Total : 27.74% |
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