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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 59.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 17.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.52%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 0-1 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bala Town | Draw | Newtown AFC |
59.7% ( -0.03) | 22.95% ( -0.03) | 17.35% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 47.29% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.74% ( 0.21) | 51.25% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.91% ( 0.19) | 73.09% ( -0.19) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.18% ( 0.07) | 16.82% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.2% ( 0.12) | 46.8% ( -0.12) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.85% ( 0.2) | 43.14% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.59% ( 0.17) | 79.41% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bala Town | Draw | Newtown AFC |
| 1-0 @ 12.93% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 11.52% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.05% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.09% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.81% Total : 59.69% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.75% Total : 22.95% | 0-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.69% Total : 17.35% |
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