Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Bala Town	Draw	Pen-y-Bont
40.61% ( 0.19)	27.68% ( 0.07)	31.72% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 48.08% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.41% (

-0.32)

57.59% (

0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.63% (

-0.25)

78.37% (

0.25)

Bala Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.18% (

-0.04)

27.82% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.59% (

-0.05)

63.41% (

0.05)

Pen-y-Bont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.6% (

-0.35)

33.4% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.98% (

-0.38)

70.02% (

0.39)

Score Analysis

Bala Town 40.6%

Pen-y-Bont 31.71%

Draw 27.67%

Bala Town	Draw	Pen-y-Bont
1-0 @ 11.88% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.56% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.85% Total : 40.6%	1-1 @ 13.03% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.67%	0-1 @ 10.18% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.46% Total : 31.71%