SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Caernarfon Town | 5 | 6 | 9 |
| 3 | Cardiff MU | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Flint Town United | 4 | 4 | 9 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Cardiff MU | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Flint Town United | 4 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Pen-y-Bont | 4 | 3 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 58.03%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Flint Town United had a probability of 18.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Flint Town United win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cardiff MU in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff MU | Draw | Flint Town United |
58.03% ( -0.42) | 23.5% ( 0.24) | 18.46% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 47.68% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.19% ( -0.68) | 51.81% ( 0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.43% ( -0.59) | 73.57% ( 0.59) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.39% ( -0.39) | 17.61% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.81% ( -0.69) | 48.19% ( 0.7) |
| Flint Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.87% ( -0.18) | 42.13% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.45% ( -0.15) | 78.55% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff MU | Draw | Flint Town United |
| 1-0 @ 12.88% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 11.18% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 5.6% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.52% Total : 58.02% | 1-1 @ 11.13% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.77% Total : 23.49% | 0-1 @ 6.41% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.39% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.87% Total : 18.46% |
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