SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 87.41%. A draw had a probability of 8.4% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 4.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 4-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.81%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-2 (1.35%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| The New Saints | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
87.41% ( -0.04) | 8.44% ( 0.02) | 4.16% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 49.24% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 78.53% ( 0.09) | 21.47% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 59.84% ( 0.12) | 40.16% ( -0.12) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.85% ( 0.01) | 3.15% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 85.95% ( 0.03) | 14.05% ( -0.03) |
| Aberystwyth Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.84% ( 0.2) | 49.16% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.93% ( 0.14) | 84.07% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| The New Saints | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
| 3-0 @ 10.67% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.26% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 6.58% ( 0)4-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.02)6-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.02)7-0 @ 1.81% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)7-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)6-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.36% Total : 87.41% | 1-1 @ 3.81% 2-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.75% Total : 8.44% | 1-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 1.7% Total : 4.16% |
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