SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colwyn Bay win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 36.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colwyn Bay win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (5.91%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 1-2 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colwyn Bay | Draw | Cardiff MU |
38.49% ( 0.23) | 24.7% ( -0.07) | 36.81% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 58.82% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.71% ( 0.31) | 44.29% ( -0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.34% ( 0.3) | 66.66% ( -0.31) |
| Colwyn Bay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.13% ( 0.25) | 22.87% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.39% ( 0.38) | 56.6% ( -0.38) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.26% ( 0.06) | 23.74% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.12% ( 0.08) | 57.88% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colwyn Bay | Draw | Cardiff MU |
| 2-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.25% Total : 38.49% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.7% | 1-2 @ 8.28% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.97% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.08% Total : 36.81% |
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