SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.38%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barry Town United | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
44.55% ( -0.04) | 22.62% ( 0.01) | 32.83% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 65.64% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.01% ( -0.05) | 34.99% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.02% ( -0.05) | 56.97% ( 0.06) |
| Barry Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.7% ( -0.03) | 16.29% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.14% ( -0.06) | 45.86% ( 0.07) |
| Caernarfon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.42% ( -0) | 21.57% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.33% ( -0.01) | 54.66% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barry Town United | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
| 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.79% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.37% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.5% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0)4-3 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 3.68% Total : 44.55% | 1-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.81% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.1% ( -0)Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.62% | 1-2 @ 7.5% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.84% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.48% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.47% 2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0)Other @ 3.57% Total : 32.83% |
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