SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for Barry Town United had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Barry Town United win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff MU would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff MU | Draw | Barry Town United |
42.73% ( 0.19) | 27.06% ( 0.09) | 30.2% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 49.3% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.24% ( -0.44) | 55.76% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.1% ( -0.36) | 76.89% ( 0.36) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.17% ( -0.1) | 25.82% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.21% ( -0.14) | 60.78% ( 0.14) |
| Barry Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.46% ( -0.44) | 33.53% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.82% ( -0.48) | 70.17% ( 0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff MU | Draw | Barry Town United |
| 1-0 @ 11.72% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.23% Total : 42.73% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.06% | 0-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.41% Total : 30.2% |
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