SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 49.45%. A win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barry Town United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barry Town United | Draw | Pontypridd Town AFC |
49.45% ( 0.84) | 23.03% ( -0.1) | 27.52% ( -0.75) |
| Both teams to score 60.72% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.95% ( -0.09) | 40.04% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.59% ( -0.1) | 62.41% ( 0.09) |
| Barry Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.59% ( 0.27) | 16.41% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.93% ( 0.49) | 46.07% ( -0.49) |
| Pontypridd Town AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.64% ( -0.57) | 27.36% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.18% ( -0.74) | 62.82% ( 0.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barry Town United | Draw | Pontypridd Town AFC |
| 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 5.73% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 3.71% 4-1 @ 2.59% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 2% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.45% Total : 49.45% | 1-1 @ 10.51% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.02% | 1-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.93% Total : 27.52% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
