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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 9
Sep 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Deeside College Stadium

Connah's Quay
2 - 1
Colwyn Bay

Davies (60'), Bratley (70')
Disney (20')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Akpan (64')
Holmes (59'), Downes (90+2')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Colwyn Bay.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Haverfordwest 1-3 Connah's Quay
Saturday, September 23 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Colwyn Bay 2-4 Newtown
Saturday, September 23 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 59.6%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Colwyn Bay had a probability of 17.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Colwyn Bay win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawColwyn Bay
59.6%22.94% (0.0019999999999989 0) 17.46% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Both teams to score 47.54% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)51.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.09% (0.0020000000000024 0)72.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.22% (0.0020000000000095 0)16.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.27% (0.00099999999999767 0)46.74% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Colwyn Bay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.12% (0.0040000000000049 0)42.88% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)79.19% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 59.59%
    Colwyn Bay 17.46%
    Draw 22.94%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawColwyn Bay
1-0 @ 12.84%
2-0 @ 11.46%
2-1 @ 9.71%
3-0 @ 6.82%
3-1 @ 5.78%
4-0 @ 3.04%
4-1 @ 2.58%
3-2 @ 2.45%
4-2 @ 1.09%
5-0 @ 1.09%
5-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 59.59%
1-1 @ 10.87%
0-0 @ 7.2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 4.11%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 22.94%
0-1 @ 6.09% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 4.6%
0-2 @ 2.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.3% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 17.46%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Haverfordwest 1-3 Connah's Quay
Saturday, September 23 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 4-0 Cardiff MU
Saturday, September 16 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Barry 1-4 Connah's Quay
Saturday, September 9 at 2.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Caernarfon 0-4 Connah's Quay
Friday, September 1 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 3-1 Newtown
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Bala Town 1-0 Connah's Quay
Friday, August 25 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Colwyn Bay 2-4 Newtown
Saturday, September 23 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Colwyn Bay 3-1 Aberystwyth
Friday, September 15 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 0-1 Colwyn Bay
Saturday, September 9 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Colwyn Bay 1-2 Haverfordwest
Saturday, September 2 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Colwyn Bay 0-1 New Saints
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Cardiff MU 1-0 Colwyn Bay
Saturday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League


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