SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 37.69%. A win for Colwyn Bay had a probability of 36.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Colwyn Bay win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bala Town | Draw | Colwyn Bay |
37.69% ( -0.08) | 25.48% ( 0.07) | 36.83% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 56.04% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.13% ( -0.32) | 47.87% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.95% ( -0.3) | 70.05% ( 0.29) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.09% ( -0.19) | 24.9% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.47% ( -0.26) | 59.52% ( 0.26) |
| Colwyn Bay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.62% ( -0.15) | 25.37% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.82% ( -0.2) | 60.17% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bala Town | Draw | Colwyn Bay |
| 1-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.79% Total : 37.69% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.26% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.72% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 36.83% |
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