Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 69.35%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Barry Town United had a probability of 12.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.86%), while for a Barry Town United win it was 0-1 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
