SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 55.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 21.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Connah's Quay Nomads win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bala Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bala Town | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
55.4% ( -0.23) | 22.93% ( 0.12) | 21.67% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 54.44% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.66% ( -0.36) | 45.34% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.33% ( -0.35) | 67.68% ( 0.35) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.78% ( -0.2) | 16.22% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.28% ( -0.38) | 45.72% ( 0.38) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.98% ( -0.09) | 35.03% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.23% ( -0.1) | 71.77% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bala Town | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
| 1-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.33% Total : 55.4% | 1-1 @ 10.84% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.93% | 0-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.99% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 2% Total : 21.67% |
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