SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 57.36%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 18.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Cardiff MU |
57.36% ( -0.02) | 24% ( 0.06) | 18.63% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 46.52% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.49% ( -0.29) | 53.51% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.97% ( -0.24) | 75.02% ( 0.24) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.52% ( -0.11) | 18.48% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.32% ( -0.19) | 49.68% ( 0.19) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.07% ( -0.22) | 42.93% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.77% ( -0.19) | 79.23% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Cardiff MU |
| 1-0 @ 13.39% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 11.3% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.37% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.24% Total : 57.35% | 1-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.7% Total : 24% | 0-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.84% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.8% Total : 18.63% |
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