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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 15
Nov 4, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
New Bridge Meadow Stadium

Haverfordwest
5 - 0
Colwyn Bay

Taylor-Crossdale (14', 44', 56'), Dyer (18'), John (84')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Haverfordwest County and Colwyn Bay.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newtown 1-1 Haverfordwest
Saturday, October 28 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 6-1 Colwyn Bay
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 59.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Colwyn Bay had a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 1-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Colwyn Bay win it was 1-2 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.

Result
Haverfordwest CountyDrawColwyn Bay
59.07% (-0.398 -0.4) 21.33% (0.1 0.1) 19.6% (0.304 0.3)
Both teams to score 56.6% (0.19499999999999 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.08% (0.0040000000000049 0)40.92% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.69% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)63.31%
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.46% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)13.53% (0.119 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.4% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)40.6% (0.242 0.24)
Colwyn Bay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.46% (0.315 0.31)34.54% (-0.31 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.74% (0.333 0.33)71.26% (-0.327 -0.33)
Score Analysis
    Haverfordwest County 59.07%
    Colwyn Bay 19.6%
    Draw 21.33%
Haverfordwest CountyDrawColwyn Bay
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 9.35% (-0.084 -0.08)
1-0 @ 9.35% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.63% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.23% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.52% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.31% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.12% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.33% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.25% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 59.07%
1-1 @ 9.94% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.68%
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.33%
1-2 @ 5.28% (0.065 0.07)
0-1 @ 4.97% (0.042 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.64% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.87% (0.031 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.87% (0.039 0.04)
0-3 @ 0.94% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 19.6%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Newtown 1-1 Haverfordwest
Saturday, October 28 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Bala Town 2-0 Haverfordwest
Saturday, October 21 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Haverfordwest 3-2 Pen-y-Bont
Tuesday, October 17 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pontypridd 2-0 Haverfordwest
Saturday, October 7 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Haverfordwest 3-0 Aberystwyth
Saturday, September 30 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Cardiff MU 1-1 Haverfordwest
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 6-1 Colwyn Bay
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Colwyn Bay 0-1 Barry
Saturday, October 28 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Bala Town 2-1 Colwyn Bay
Saturday, October 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Colwyn Bay 2-2 Cardiff MU
Saturday, September 30 at 2.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 2-1 Colwyn Bay
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Colwyn Bay 2-4 Newtown
Saturday, September 23 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League


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