SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
38.98% ( 0.01) | 26.61% ( -0.01) | 34.4% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 51.99% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.07% ( 0.03) | 52.93% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.46% ( 0.03) | 74.54% ( -0.03) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.47% ( 0.02) | 26.53% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.27% ( 0.03) | 61.73% ( -0.03) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.77% ( 0.02) | 29.23% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.81% ( 0.02) | 65.18% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
| 1-0 @ 10.29% 2-1 @ 8.4% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.83% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.71% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.02% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0)4-0 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.21% Total : 38.98% | 1-1 @ 12.65% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.61% | 0-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.87% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.19% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.41% 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 34.41% |
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