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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 22
Feb 26, 2022 at 12.45pm UK
Latham Park

Newtown
0 - 2
Connah's Quay


Sears (20'), Williams (35'), Walker (44'), Roberts (83'), Hughes (89')
Sears (37')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Morris (25' pen.), Curran (69')
Curran (22'), Poole (63')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 30.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
30.93%25.4%43.67%
Both teams to score 54.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.23%48.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.12%70.87%
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.56%29.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.56%65.43%
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.71%22.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.26%55.74%
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 30.93%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 43.67%
    Draw 25.39%
Newtown AFCDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 8.02%
2-1 @ 7.36%
2-0 @ 4.91%
3-1 @ 3%
3-2 @ 2.25%
3-0 @ 2%
4-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 30.93%
1-1 @ 12.04%
0-0 @ 6.56%
2-2 @ 5.53%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.39%
0-1 @ 9.85%
1-2 @ 9.04%
0-2 @ 7.39%
1-3 @ 4.52%
0-3 @ 3.7%
2-3 @ 2.77%
1-4 @ 1.7%
0-4 @ 1.39%
2-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 43.67%

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