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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 71.96%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 11.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.85%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 2-1 (3.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for The New Saints in this match.
| Result | ||
| Newtown AFC | Draw | The New Saints |
11.3% ( -0.07) | 16.74% ( -0.09) | 71.96% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 52.03% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.24% ( 0.23) | 36.76% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.08% ( 0.25) | 58.93% ( -0.24) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.15% ( 0.04) | 42.85% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.84% ( 0.03) | 79.16% ( -0.03) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.04% ( 0.09) | 8.96% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.42% ( 0.22) | 30.58% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newtown AFC | Draw | The New Saints |
| 2-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.13% 3-1 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 1.27% Total : 11.3% | 1-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 16.74% | 0-2 @ 11.17% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.47% ( -0.02)0-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 8.98% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 7.61% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 5.42% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 4.59% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 2.61% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 2.22% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.95% ( 0.02)0-6 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)2-5 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.46% Total : 71.96% |
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