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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Mar 9, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
2 - 0
Cardiff MU

Mwandwe (49'), Smith (74')
Robles (15'), Mwandwe (35'), Evans (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Clubb (14'), Skiverton (31'), Cadwallader (42')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Cardiff MU.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Caernarfon 1-0 Newtown
Friday, March 1 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 4-0 Cardiff MU
Saturday, March 2 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 57.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 20.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawCardiff MU
57.54% (-0.314 -0.31) 22.12% (0.192 0.19) 20.35% (0.126 0.13)
Both teams to score 55.15% (-0.444 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.56% (-0.684 -0.68)43.44% (0.687 0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.16% (-0.677 -0.68)65.83% (0.67899999999999 0.68)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.15% (-0.33 -0.33)14.85% (0.332 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.83% (-0.637 -0.64)43.17% (0.639 0.64)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.76% (-0.268 -0.27)35.24% (0.271 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.01% (-0.28 -0.28)71.99% (0.28400000000001 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 57.54%
    Cardiff MU 20.35%
    Draw 22.11%
Newtown AFCDrawCardiff MU
1-0 @ 9.98% (0.183 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.52% (0.064 0.06)
3-1 @ 6.31% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-0 @ 6.05% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-1 @ 3.01% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.89% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.57% (-0.05 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.15% (-0.042 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.1% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 57.54%
1-1 @ 10.4% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 5.23% (0.156 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.11%
0-1 @ 5.46% (0.124 0.12)
1-2 @ 5.43% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.85% (0.044 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.89% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 20.35%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Caernarfon 1-0 Newtown
Friday, March 1 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 1-5 Bala Town
Saturday, February 24 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 2-3 Connah's Quay
Saturday, February 10 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 3-0 Newtown
Tuesday, February 6 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 3-1 Newtown
Saturday, January 13 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Barry 4-0 Newtown
Saturday, January 6 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 4-0 Cardiff MU
Saturday, March 2 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 2-1 Cardiff MU
Saturday, February 24 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Cardiff MU 2-2 Caernarfon
Saturday, February 10 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Bala Town 1-1 Cardiff MU
Saturday, February 3 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Cardiff MU 2-2 Caernarfon
Saturday, January 13 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 8-0 Cardiff MU
Saturday, January 6 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League


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