SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 89.51%. A draw had a probability of 7.4% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 3.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 4-0 (10.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.51%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 0-1 (1.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| The New Saints | Draw | Newtown AFC |
89.51% ( -0.64) | 7.45% ( 0.43) | 3.04% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 42.16% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 76.66% ( -1.16) | 23.34% ( 1.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 57.28% ( -1.58) | 42.72% ( 1.58) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.86% ( -0.25) | 3.14% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 85.99% ( -0.89) | 14.01% ( 0.89) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 43.53% ( 0.11) | 56.47% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.26% ( 0.07) | 88.74% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| The New Saints | Draw | Newtown AFC |
| 3-0 @ 12.25% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 10.61% ( 0.35)4-0 @ 10.6% ( -0.14)5-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.28)3-1 @ 7% ( 0.09)1-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.35)2-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.22)4-1 @ 6.06% ( -0.06)6-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.27)5-1 @ 4.19% ( -0.15)6-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.15)7-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 2% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.04)7-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.1)8-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.47% Total : 89.5% | 1-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.43% Total : 7.45% | 0-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 1% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.03% Total : 3.04% |
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