SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 70%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 11.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 0-1 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| The New Saints | Draw | Cardiff MU |
70% ( -0.06) | 18.52% ( 0.02) | 11.47% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 46.24% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.35% ( 0.03) | 44.65% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.98% ( 0.02) | 67.01% ( -0.02) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.44% ( -0.01) | 11.56% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.5% ( -0.02) | 36.49% ( 0.02) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.28% ( 0.09) | 47.72% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.97% ( 0.07) | 83.02% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| The New Saints | Draw | Cardiff MU |
| 2-0 @ 12.83% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 11.89% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 9.24% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.83% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.69% 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.59% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0)Other @ 3.39% Total : 69.98% | 1-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.69% Total : 18.52% | 0-1 @ 4.08% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 11.47% |
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