Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 70%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 11.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 0-1 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
The New Saints	Draw	Cardiff MU
70% ( -0.06)	18.52% ( 0.02)	11.47% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 46.24% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.35% (

0.03)

44.65% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.98% (

0.02)

67.01% (

-0.02)

The New Saints Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.44% (

-0.01)

11.56% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.5% (

-0.02)

36.49% (

0.02)

Cardiff MU Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.28% (

0.09)

47.72% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.97% (

0.07)

83.02% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

The New Saints 69.98%

Cardiff MU 11.47%

Draw 18.52%

The New Saints	Draw	Cardiff MU
2-0 @ 12.83% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 11.89% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.24% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.83% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.69% 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.59% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 3.39% Total : 69.98%	1-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.69% Total : 18.52%	0-1 @ 4.08% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 11.47%