SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 47.39%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 27.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Connah's Quay Nomads in this match.
| Result | ||
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
27.09% ( 0.22) | 25.52% ( 0.07) | 47.39% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 52.08% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.73% ( -0.14) | 51.26% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.9% ( -0.13) | 73.1% ( 0.13) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.46% ( 0.1) | 33.54% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.82% ( 0.11) | 70.18% ( -0.11) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.36% ( -0.19) | 21.64% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.24% ( -0.29) | 54.76% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
| 1-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 2.41% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.37% Total : 27.09% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 11.1% 1-2 @ 9.29% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 8.5% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 4.74% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 4.34% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.36% Total : 47.38% |
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