SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Pontypridd Town AFC win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Pontypridd Town AFC |
46.02% ( 0.09) | 25.07% ( 0.66) | 28.9% ( -0.76) |
| Both teams to score 54.76% ( -2.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.64% ( -3.32) | 48.36% ( 3.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.5% ( -3.11) | 70.5% ( 3.1) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.96% ( -1.32) | 21.04% ( 1.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.16% ( -2.09) | 53.84% ( 2.09) |
| Pontypridd Town AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.35% ( -2.22) | 30.65% ( 2.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.1% ( -2.71) | 66.89% ( 2.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Pontypridd Town AFC |
| 1-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.95) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.44)3-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.32)4-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.17)Other @ 2.57% Total : 46.02% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.43) 0-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.84)2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.37)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.57) 1-2 @ 7.03% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.25)2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.29)0-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.03% Total : 28.9% |
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