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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 28.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Pontypridd Town AFC win was 0-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Pontypridd Town AFC |
46.74% ( -0.03) | 24.51% ( 0.02) | 28.75% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.53% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.02% ( -0.06) | 45.98% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.71% ( -0.06) | 68.29% ( 0.06) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.23% ( -0.04) | 19.77% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.19% ( -0.06) | 51.81% ( 0.06) |
| Pontypridd Town AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.46% ( -0.02) | 29.54% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.44% ( -0.02) | 65.56% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Pontypridd Town AFC |
| 1-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.67% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.15% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.68% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 2.98% Total : 46.74% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.71% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.51% | 0-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.04% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.86% 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.76% ( 0)Other @ 3.31% Total : 28.75% |
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