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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 26.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.73%). The likeliest Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-0 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pontypridd Town AFC | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
26.84% ( -0.18) | 26.08% ( -0.46) | 47.08% ( 0.64) |
| Both teams to score 50.18% ( 1.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.36% ( 1.65) | 53.64% ( -1.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.86% ( 1.37) | 75.14% ( -1.37) |
| Pontypridd Town AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.98% ( 0.74) | 35.02% ( -0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.24% ( 0.77) | 71.76% ( -0.77) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.22% ( 1.01) | 22.78% ( -1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.53% ( 1.47) | 56.47% ( -1.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pontypridd Town AFC | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
| 1-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.38) 2-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.1% Total : 26.84% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.53)2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.17)Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.08% | 0-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.42) 1-2 @ 9.16% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 8.73% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.52% ( 0.2)0-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.15)1-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.12)0-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.94% Total : 47.07% |
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