SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 46.48%. A win for Airbus UK Broughton had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.44%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Airbus UK Broughton win was 2-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Airbus UK Broughton | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
30.4% ( 0.39) | 23.11% ( 0.35) | 46.48% ( -0.74) |
| Both teams to score 62.51% ( -1.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.42% ( -1.48) | 38.57% ( 1.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.12% ( -1.58) | 60.87% ( 1.59) |
| Airbus UK Broughton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.27% ( -0.49) | 24.72% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.73% ( -0.69) | 59.27% ( 0.69) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.04% ( -0.84) | 16.96% ( 0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.95% ( -1.52) | 47.04% ( 1.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Airbus UK Broughton | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
| 2-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.32)2-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 3.38% 3-2 @ 3% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.66% Total : 30.4% | 1-1 @ 10.39% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.29)3-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.11% | 1-2 @ 9.22% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.31)0-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 5.46% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.17)1-4 @ 2.42% ( -0.14)0-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.13)Other @ 4.21% Total : 46.48% |
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