SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 85.04%. A draw had a probability of 10.5% and a win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 4.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.92%) and 4-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.01%), while for a Haverfordwest County win it was 0-1 (1.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| The New Saints | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
85.04% ( -0.05) | 10.53% ( 0.03) | 4.43% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 39.93% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.24% ( -0.02) | 32.75% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.56% ( -0.02) | 54.43% ( 0.02) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.58% ( -0.01) | 5.42% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.79% ( -0.04) | 21.21% ( 0.04) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 42.22% ( 0.07) | 57.78% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.52% ( 0.04) | 89.47% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| The New Saints | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
| 2-0 @ 13.3% 3-0 @ 12.92% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 9.13% ( 0)2-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 5.17% ( 0)5-1 @ 3.02% ( -0)6-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.47% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0)7-0 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 3.57% Total : 85.02% | 1-1 @ 5.01% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.13% ( 0)2-2 @ 2% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.39% Total : 10.53% | 0-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.34% Total : 4.43% |
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