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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 50.74%. A win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 26.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | Pontypridd Town AFC |
50.74% ( 0.87) | 23.09% ( -0.3) | 26.17% ( -0.57) |
| Both teams to score 59.25% ( 0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.56% ( 0.92) | 41.44% ( -0.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.16% ( 0.93) | 63.84% ( -0.93) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.54% ( 0.66) | 16.46% ( -0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.84% ( 1.18) | 46.16% ( -1.18) |
| Pontypridd Town AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.92% ( 0.06) | 29.08% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35% ( 0.07) | 64.99% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | Pontypridd Town AFC |
| 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.08)5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.37% Total : 50.74% | 1-1 @ 10.66% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.2)3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.09% | 1-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.24)0-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.36% Total : 26.17% |
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