SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 67.96%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 12.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.83%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Haverfordwest County win it was 1-0 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | The New Saints |
12.31% ( -0.06) | 19.74% ( -0.08) | 67.96% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 44.97% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.19% ( 0.22) | 47.81% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.01% ( 0.2) | 69.99% ( -0.19) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.72% ( 0.04) | 48.28% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.57% ( 0.03) | 83.43% ( -0.02) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.94% ( 0.11) | 13.06% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.36% ( 0.22) | 39.64% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | The New Saints |
| 1-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.64% Total : 12.31% | 1-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 3.46% ( 0)Other @ 0.63% Total : 19.74% | 0-2 @ 13.06% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 12.83% ( -0.06)1-2 @ 9.51% ( 0)0-3 @ 8.87% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 6.46% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 4.51% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 3.29% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.84% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.34% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 67.95% |
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